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ANNOUNCEMENT: Matt Margolis & Mark Noonan get a book deal!


November 07, 2006
Kudlow's Take

Larry Kudlow gives a "pre-mortem" of why this day shall not be all the Democrats' dreamed it would be:

New polls show rising public approval of the economy as a result of blockbuster job creation, low unemployment, falling gas prices and a roaring stock market. It's not a coincidence that the Dow soared over 100 points Monday on news of the Pew poll that shows the Republican comeback. Democratic House campaign manager Rahm Emanuel told a Sunday TV news host: "This is making me nervous. ... I don't know what to make of it." It's called the low-tax economic boom, stupid.

Then we have Saddam Hussein's conviction and death sentence. This reminds American voters that there has been a good deal of progress in Iraq. Saddam and his mass-murdering crimes against humanity are a thing of the past. The Iraqi people have participated -- and in large numbers -- in three democratic elections in this former dictatorship. What was back-burner material is suddenly front-burner again.

Indeed, as tough as the Iraq story has been, the Saddam conviction reminds voters that President Bush's vision of overthrowing the jihadist totalitarian order is worth the fight. In terms of American values, U.S. security, and human-rights democracy improvements in the Mideast and around the world, victory in Iraq matters.

And finally we have President Bush's indefatigable campaigning on Iraq, homeland counterterrorism, low taxes and economic growth. Bush has been written off so many times by the mainstream media, but he keeps coming back -- standing tall, resolute and with an incredibly strong backbone of character.

This election, thanks largely to the Democrats and their lapdogs in the MSM, is a referendum on President Bush and his policies - from the war to the economy. Anything less than solid Democratic majorities in both Houses will be proof positive that for all the difficulty and heartache of these troubled times, the American people are not about to turn over the nation to people who's only rationale for existence is to hate President Bush.

As for me, this is a great day to be a Republican - I've been talking big about how well we're going to do and my faith, shaken from time to time, never failed. Now it is to be put to the acid test - we shall know within 24 hours of this writing if I've been whistling past the graveyard, or have been realistic in my predictions. I'm standing by my words: the GOP gains seats in both Houses.

Now, get out there and do your duty, Republicans: vote, and drag a few friends to the polls with you. As for you Democrats - well, its ok for you to stay home, because your lefty blogs told you that you won a month ago.

Posted by Mark Noonan at November 7, 2006 01:00 AM



Comments

The Republicans can't win on the issues. On most issues, the people are more in favor of the Democrat position than the Republican position. That is why the Republicans spent more time talking about Kerry's botched joke than their actual policies.

The Republicans know they can't win on the issues so they resort to dirty attack ads, such as the racist ad against Harold Ford in TN, with the white woman blowing him a kiss.

Besides their attack ads, the Republicans will use every dirty trick in the book to try and suppress the Democrat vote. Here's an example of call to a Democrat voter in Virginia telling him that if he tries to vote on Tuesday, he will be arrested:

www.webbforsenate.com/media/phone_message.wav

Republicans already have been convicted of election tampering before in New Hampshire, but that doesn't seem to stop them.


Posted by: Brian at November 7, 2006 01:39 AM

Gains in both houses would be soooooo sweet!

Posted by: Dr. Jeff at November 7, 2006 06:25 AM

Kudlow can dream on. We are going to be crushed because the Republican congress has failed. It is that simple..

It can really be called a do nothing congress!

Posted by: Ames Tiedeman at November 7, 2006 08:02 AM

Your party's robocalls are backfiring.

An Ohio woman, who did not leave her name, called The Washington Post in tears yesterday, saying she could not keep her phone line open to hospice workers caring for her terminally ill mother because of nonstop political robo-calls.

Pamela Lorenz, a retired nurse in Roseville, Calif., called her own experience "harassment as far as I'm concerned" and said, "If I were voting right now, the opponent who's doing this, he'd be off my list for throwing that much trash."

Posted by: Christian Wright at November 7, 2006 08:21 AM

Mark -

"Anything less than solid Democratic majorities in both Houses..."


Sounds like you're succumbing to the soft bigotry of low expectations. Where's the previous swagger of Repubs gaining seats in both houses?

Given the gerrymandering that has served to entrench incumbents of both parties, and given the rather large lead the Repubs currently enjoy in both houses, and given the very few number of Senate seats that are contended this cycle, a Democratic pick-up of either house (let alone both) would be quite stunning.

It would be a stunning rebuke of the most incompetent administration ever.

Posted by: Aarontime [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 08:47 AM

Before vote:
Calls from pollsters "yeah - culture corruption all that", "Yep I'm live long repub gonna vote dem this year". (Makes them go away).

Wife leaning slightly for democrats, see they've won already and stays home, no need to vote. Meanwhile, I'm off to the polling place and voting republican down the line.

After this election the dimocrats still don't know where they've gone wrong. "Musta been something the republicans did, we're perfect ---" they think. Call up and pay lawyers big bucks to challenge everything, never think for a minute that dimocrats are just plain wrong.

After Vote:
Don't forget to tell them exit pollsters how "yeah - culture corruption all that", "Yep I'm live long repub voted dem this year". (Makes them happy and they go away).

Putting the joy back into voting and getting a few extra smiles to self, when dimocraps don't understand and are confused. --- Priceless ;)

Posted by: dl [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 09:11 AM

hey larry, didn't get to see your dealer last night? had to actually sleep, it's probably what's clouding your mind. wake up and smell the change, dude... you sound like a moron.

Posted by: warren steibel at November 7, 2006 09:36 AM

God Bless George Bush & onward to victory!

Posted by: bearmanUSMC [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 10:02 AM

Sunday evening we had a family gathering of 15 people for dinner to celebrate my mom's 86th birthday. My wife's sister and her husband are Democrats, as is my youngest daugthter's fiance. All the others, to my knowledge, are Republicans.

We were sitting around the table eating dessert, and the subject of the election came up. My mom announced that she and my dad (life-long Republicans, mind you) were going to vote Democrat this time around. (mainly because our Congressman's Donk opponent visited their retirement community, and they liked him) My brother-in-law and sister-in-law nodded their heads and muttered something about how our GOP Congressman was a jerk and didn't deserve to be reelected. I piped up (with as straight a face as possible) and said that my wife and I had also decided to vote Democrat for the first time in our lives. My brother-in-law fell for the trap, hook, line and sinker. He asked what had caused my sudden epiphany.

I said there were a number of factors, including the fact that I didn't think any of us were paying enough taxes, that I thought terrorists detainees deserved more rights, that it just wasn't fair that we should listen in on terrorists' phone calls or track their finances; it was certainly not fair that homosexuals couldn't get married, but more than anything, it was the endorsement of the Democrats by the American Communist Party and a couple global terrorists groups.

There was this looooooong silence, and then someone changed the subject.

Later, on the way out the door, my wife's brother (a staunch Republican) nudged me and whispered "WAY TO GO!!"

Posted by: Retired Spook [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 10:08 AM

...the American people are not about to turn over the nation to people who's only rationale for existence is to hate President Bush.

You wish that was our "rationale".

...this is a great day to be a Republican

And here's hoping you have many more like it.

I'm standing by my words: the GOP gains seats in both Houses.

I'm looking forward to your Wednesday posting.

But, in all seriousness, how can today truly be a great day to be a Republican. Whatever your criticisms regarding the Democrats (oh, sorry, dhimmicrats), the GOP has at best failed its own best aspirations and interests during the past 4 years of one-party rule; at worst, the party of Lincoln has betrayed a profound lack of viability as a long term governing force. You guys have some soul-searching to do, in my view. Here's hoping you neglect to undertake it and quickly rush to blaming all your failings on the moderate-liberal-centrist-left.

See you Wednesday.

Posted by: hoi polloi at November 7, 2006 10:11 AM

Spook --- WAY TO GO!

Posted by: dl [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 10:20 AM

RS: Priceless!!

Posted by: kimberly4bush [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 11:11 AM

Brian:

Good points (way up there on the blog) but the problem is you have the parties switched. That is easy to do though as even the most amateur shrink will tell you that people will complain and accuse others for the things that they themselves are most guilty of (and familar with for that matter).

Nice try though and I hope that you keep revealing to us all your hidden tactics by your baseless accusations of others.

Posted by: voiceofreason [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 11:27 AM

I was with you until the last paragraph - I just voted in Jersey - Kean and Ferguson (I wish I was in PA and could vote for Santorum - met him and he's truly a decent, decent man)

Anyway - I think the GOP will keep both houses - but won't make gains. If my prediction is correct though - that will bring enough joy.

Posted by: Jim at November 7, 2006 01:37 PM

Jim,

Gotta have faith, man!

Posted by: Mark Noonan [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 02:24 PM

The fact that the Republicans won't lose the Senate has more to do with the fact that 40 of them aren't running this election than anything the Republicans are doing right.

Gerrymandering is the reason the Dems won't have a wave election. There just aren't that many competitive seats and the 37% of the Americans who can still find something they like about George W. Bush's presidency will keep it from being a total whitewash.

But remember, LBJ won one of the most lopsided elections in U.S. history and only took 60% of the popular vote. 40% of the country has always been ridiculously conservative.

As a Republican you have nothing to be proud of.

Posted by: spike at November 7, 2006 02:28 PM

Anything but the republicans gaining seats in both houses is a great victory for the democrats.

Since the republicans are so wonderful, doing so well running the country, they'll get even more votes than before - any losses at all of seats, with them running everything is a total rebuke of their governing.

Turnabout's fair play.

Posted by: Craig at November 7, 2006 02:30 PM

Mark,

"...the American people are not about to turn over the nation to people who's only rationale for existence is to hate President Bush."

How is this substantially different from turning over the nation to people whose only rationale for existence is blind love of Resident Bush?

Posted by: JML at November 7, 2006 03:24 PM

Wow RS. If all you have is lies about the opposition I pity you and your party's lack of vision and faith.

Here's to a Democratic victory today and a more democratic America in the future.

Posted by: jimbo at November 7, 2006 03:39 PM

I have plenty to be proud of as an republican, if for no other reason than my party doesnt contain a man named John Kerry.

Anyhoo, if the dems do win, Ill accept it and move on being an American; I dont plan on rioting, burning or throwing a tantrum as the lefties did after the last three elections.

The one positive factor would be getting to ridicule the libs as they try to prove their worth, what a circus.

On the negative side, the stock market is going to drop like a rock if the dems win and my investments are going to suffer.

Posted by: Lose the Bongos [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 05:06 PM

Lose your bongos:

"On the negative side, the stock market is going to drop like a rock if the dems win and my investments are going to suffer."

Since WWII, here's what the stock market has done during each presidency, up through Mar, 2006:

President Annualized Stock Market Return
Truman D 18.28%
Eisenho R 14.96%
Kennedy D 15.15%
Johnson D 10.39%
Nixon R -1.32%
Ford R 17.21%
Carter D 11.04%
Reagan R 15.18%
Bush R 14.44%
Clinton D 19%
Bush R -0.92%

Average annualized return under Democratic presidents: 15.26%. Under Republicans: 9.53%

"I dont plan on rioting, burning or throwing a tantrum as the lefties did after the last three elections."

When did Dems ever "riot" or "burn" anything after the last three elections? Please.


Posted by: Aarontime [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 05:45 PM

Oh they rioted all right, and burned, though I noticed you failed to dismiss 'throwing a tantrum'. Heh.

There is a difference between liberals and conservatives when they lose; liberals create conspiracies, make hysterical calls to 'take back the streets' and generally pout and behave like the space-cadets which now typify the dem base.

Conservatives go back to work.

What is 'work' you ask? Ill explain it to you some other time.

Posted by: Lose the Bongos [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 07:17 PM

That stock average is bloated by the Clinton dot.com bubble, which was built on...well...a bubble.

Unless of course you believe that your catfood.com stock is still worth $80 a share?

The stock market surged 100 points on news that the republicans were making a comeback; whether they were or not is irrelevant, its the perception of economic trends which sometimes drives the market.

If the democrats win, Id be interested to see how the market reacts. I would agree with the other poster that it would fall.

Posted by: 4th Light Horse [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 7, 2006 07:24 PM

We blew it and the party is over!

Posted by: Ames Tiedeman at November 8, 2006 12:11 AM

voiceofreason,

The accusations are not baseless. The voicemail with the threats is posted on the internet and is being investigated by the FBI. Do you think the FBI would be investigating this if it was just a baseless accusation?

Posted by: Brian at November 8, 2006 12:31 AM

We got crushed!

Posted by: Ames Tiedeman at November 8, 2006 07:48 AM

Haha, this post would be on par with "DEWEY WINS" .... if anybody cared about your crappy blog.

Posted by: spike at November 8, 2006 08:46 AM

I'm standing by my words: the GOP gains seats in both Houses.

Hahahahahaaaaaa!!!

Oh, jeez, I'm going to make myself sick laughing at you pathetic wingnuts and your loony predictions of victory. How many seats did the GOP gain again? Idiot.

Excuse me, the giggling is about to take over...

Posted by: Generik at November 8, 2006 11:33 AM

Reality must suck for you...

Posted by: chris at November 9, 2006 06:50 AM

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